SportsLine's model just revealed its NFL picks for the Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings on Sunday USATSI
The Atlanta Falcons (6-6) will desperately try to get back on track when they go on the road to face the Minnesota Vikings (10-2) on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta is riding a three-game losing skid following a 17-13 loss to the Chargers last week, but the Falcons are still tied with Tampa Bay for first place in the NFC South. Minnesota has won five consecutive games since suffering its only two losses of the campaign, remaining one game behind Detroit atop the NFC North. The Vikings returned from a three-game road trip with a 23-22 win over Arizona last week.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Vikings are favored by 6 points in the latest Vikings vs. Falcons odds, while the over/under is 46 points via SportsLine consensus. Minnesota is a -267 money line favorite (risk $267 to win $100), while Atlanta is a +217 underdog. Before entering any Falcons vs. Vikings picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 24-10 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 204-138 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 58-31 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Atlanta vs. Minnesota. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
Vikings vs. Falcons spread: Vikings -6Vikings vs. Falcons over/under: 46 pointsVikings vs. Falcons money line: Vikings -267, Falcons +217Vikings vs. Falcons picks: See picks hereVikings vs. Falcons streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)Why the Vikings can cover
Minnesota has been one of the best teams in the NFL this season, and it is currently riding a five-game winning streak heading into this matchup. The Vikings went unbeaten on a three-game road trip before returning with a win over Arizona last week. They have been going toe-to-toe with Detroit atop the NFC North, so they cannot afford a loss in this game.
Quarterback Sam Darnold leads the Minnesota offense with 2,952 passing yards and 23 touchdowns, completing 67.6% of his passes. Running back Aaron Jones leads the rushing attack with 820 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4.7 yards per carry. The Vikings are 12-4 in their last 16 home games against Atlanta, and they have covered the spread in four of their last six Sunday home games. See which team to pick here.
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta is coming off its third consecutive loss, leaving many bettors wary of backing the Falcons in Week 14. However, Atlanta won six of its first nine games this season, and it still has a proven quarterback in Kirk Cousins. He has thrown six interceptions over his last three games, but he only has three more interceptions than Darnold overall this season.
Cousins also has more passing yards (3,052) than Darnold, completing 67.4% of his passes. The Falcons also have a pair of solid running backs in Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, who have racked up more than 1,300 combined rushing yards this season. Minnesota has struggled at this stage of the season in recent years, going winless against the spread in its last eight December games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Vikings vs. Falcons picks
The model has simulated Falcons vs. Vikings 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Minnesota vs. Atlanta on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Vikings spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 204-138 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.